Monday, October 24, 2005

whee

ok abstaining from pens game/canucks game/ and NYI vs Atlanta cuz i have no clue on that one


LA over anaheim
Colorado over edmonton
nashville over chicago
philadelphia over montreal
stlouis over phoenix

sorry@

ok so i slacked off this weekend, too much going on

i picked 3 games tonight and bet them all at matchbook, and went 3/3!!!

toronto beat boston

carolina beat out ottawa

and detroit smoked columbus

look for my next picks soon!

Thursday, October 20, 2005

wk 2 day 3!

ok already got my picks written down, no pick on the NJ / pitt game cuz we all know i want pitt to win and nothing will change that

NYR/NYI - i hope henrik stays in goal tonight, NYR get it done, keep weekes away
win NYR

TB/ATL - Atlanta is getting like 125 or so on this game, and while their sticks have been cold as of late, so has tampa's.... look for ilya to start scoring soon, hopefully tonight
win ATL

WASH/FLA - ok washington is getting +225 ... two fucking twenty five.... Florida isnt that good, they got dominated by the rangers..... Panthers can't score, thats good for washington to know... just need ovechkin to sneak a few past luongo and wash could easily make this upset happen
win WASH (fla is a better team, they should win, but +225? cmon)

Canes/Leafs - The canes are red hot.... they have been scoring up a storm, they dominated the devils ... The leafs have been playing well.... but i gotta give this one to the canes
win CANES

Sabres/Bruins - Tough game to pick.... bruins are better team, they have had a few bad losses though.... Sabres... 4-2 but why? they arent any good haha. Sabres are getting like +160 here, its not a bad bet to make, i wanna take the bruins though
WIN bruins

STL/Nashville - Ok nashville is 5-0... but who have they beaten.... 4 teams who aren't that good... all by a goal or so each. St Louis is getting somewhere like +225 on this game.... the predators ARENT THAT GOOD< they have to lose soon, and i see no reason why it couldnt be tonight
Win STL (225..... Nashville should win, but STL can upset easily)

LA/Dallas - I thought this game was going to be real tough to pick... but then i thought about it... Kings have beaten a plethora of good teams.... Dallas has had some good games... but most of their games are low scoring affairs where a lucky bounce decides it. The kings are hot and i gotta give them the nod (not to mention they are getting like +130
Win LAK

Edm/Cal - Edmonton is in a huge funk. Kiprusoff has settled down a lot in goal since the first few games.... and this game is in the saddledome. Pray to god iginla starts to find himself and calgary puts the puck in the net a few times, cuz if they do , they wont lose
Win Calgary

Phoenix/Vancouver - I really shouldnt even bother picking the canucks games either, cuz they are all the same

CANUCKS WIN

Wednesday, October 19, 2005

wk 2 day 2!

rangers vs isles

rangers have been hot with their new goalie, i expect them to win

rangers win

sharks vs wild
@ray convinced me that the wild would be good

wild win

anaheim vs st louis

im really not sure why st louis is favored here, i cant pass up a strong ducks team

anaheim wins

LAking vs colorado

hedjuk may be back tonight, but i dont think it's enough to beat the kings

kings win


i put a 2 team parlay down on anaheim and NYR.

RESULTS

NYR lose in OT

Blues squeaked out a win over the ducks

kings scored with 59 secs left and beat the lanche

overall, bad day for me... but not too bad

wild decimated the sharks (have to give credit to @ray for this)


Tuesday, October 18, 2005

numero 8

ok 4 games on tap

panthers +155 vs Devils -170

Devils all the way here, theres a reason why the panthers are +155, and its because they got destroyed by NYR last night... if luongo didnt play, it wouldve been 10-0 not 4-0
devils

phoenix +170 vs Oilers -200

I do think edmonton will win here, phoenix won last night but didnt look all that impressive.... if emdonton falters though, the coyotes could sneak a goal in and win....
edmonton

vancouver -210 vs chicago +175

i gotta go with the canucks , especially at GM place.... but the hawks getting 175 isnt a bad proposition if you are feelin frisky

canucks

montreal NL vs Boston NL

for some reason bodog doesnt have a line out for this game..... im leaning towards montreal though depending on the line
montreal

RESULTS

i bet on montreal, they won =D =D

canucks smoked the hawks

devils eeked on past the panthers

coyotes stole a win from the oilers in OT.... glad i didnt bet on that one

Monday, October 17, 2005

end of week 1!!!!

only three games on tap tonight

panthers vs rangers
- kevin weeks getting hurt may have been a blessing in disguise for the rangers, their replacement goalie is undefeated and has played some tough teams, i expect the rangers to win this one

win - rangers

flames vs coyotes
- flames have been playing good, kiprusoff shut out the red wings this weekend, and the coyotes cant score... the line is laying REALLLLY good for the coyotes though... if the flames cant score, phoenix has a chance

win - flames

san jose vs detroit
- this should be a good game. Both teams are on solid win streaks. The wings are favored and at +140 i'd consider taking the sharks. However, i think the wings and manny legace will prevail
win - detroit





RESULTS

2 for three tonight

rangers DOMINATED the panthers (yay i won money)

wings eeked out a win (yay)

flames didnt score worth a damn and lost 2-0 to the coyotes (note the 2nd goal was EN though, so it really was 1-0 when it counted)

Sunday, October 16, 2005

day sixxxxxxxxxxxxx

just woke up, time to make some picks

tampa bay vs washington

washington is getting +180 here, and easily could come out with a W with how ovechkin is playing

anaheim vs minnesota

i don't really understand this line at all.... minnesota is overrated and anaheim, a fairly good team is getting +120... i take them

columbus vs LA kings

The kings are the better team, and will probably win.... betting on the jackets might not be such a bad play since they are getting +180 but i still like the kings

Stars vs Canucks

The stars could actually pull off an upset here pretty easily, as much as it pains me i think they have a good shot to beat the canucks, but i could never bet against my favorite non pittsburgh team. canucks win


11pm update

caps - win
kings - win
canucks - up 2-0
anaheim - lost :(

hopefully go 3/4 tho

Saturday, October 15, 2005

day five

ok im a little behind cuz ive been out all day, so no explanations just picks

toronto vs montreal - take toronto at +140

boston vs ottawa - wouldnt bet on this, but i take ottawa at -180

NYI vs Philly - wouldnt bet but i take philly at -190

atlanta vs NYR - id take NYR at -145

TB vs Pitt - Pittsburgh at +110

buffalo vs florida - buffalo at +120

carolina vs NJ - carolina looks good since they are getting +170

nash vs STL - +120 for STL, and if lalime plays like he has been... they will beat nash.

Detroit vs phoenix - this might be a steal from phoenix, but gotta give the edge to the -160 wings

edm vs calgary - calgary has to get over the hump, take them at -135

chicago vs sharks - blackhawks are getting +180, taking them in a heartbeat


10 PM update

toronto - win (yay i win money)
ottawa - win
philly - win
nyr - win
carolina - win (knew i shouldve bet this)
pens - lost (don't they always?)
calgary - win
blackhawks - lost
red wings - win
st louis - lost
buffalo - lost

i'll take 7-4.... really 7-3 since ill never not pick the pens haha


Friday, October 14, 2005

day four

little late in getting these out, but i have the lines to work with this time

Leafs vs Thrashers

the thrashers got destroyed last time they played vs the canadiens, i think they can beat the leafs though with all their potential goal scoring... but not if they can't score... until the thrashers start scoring again im not giving them a win

Win : Leafs (+115)

Pens vs Flyers

Pens have lost last 3 games by one goal. They are getting +160... holy shit.... if you EVER EVER EVER bet on a game bet on this one.... +160 for a pens team that can easily explode for a ton of a goals is never a bad thing

Win : Pens (even if they lose this line is to good to pass up) (+170)

Wild Vs Canucks

The wild destroyed vancouver at home on wednesday.... the canucks will be out for revenge and they will get it

Canucks Win (-135)

Stars vs Oilers

The oilers are a good team, but dallas isnt too shabby either.... I think the oilers are the better team, but with the stars getting +145 i dont think this is a chance you can pass up... it should be a close game

Win : Stars (+145)

Avalanche vs Blackhawks

The lanch surrendered a 3-0 lead to the predators the other night, but the blackhawks got BLOWN out by the terrible st. louis blues in their last game... The line is -165 for the lanche so while i think they will win, im not sure if you want to bet on this game or not

Win : Avalanche (-175)

Columbus vs Anaheim

Ok, this is where things get interesting. The blue jackets are getting +175.... PLUS ONE SEVENTY FIVE.... 5 bucks on this game gets you back almost 15 if they win, meanwhile betting on the ducks, 5 bucks gets you back about 8..... Anaheim is the better team, anaheim should win this game, but......... if the jackets get a good game from their goalie and a few lucky breaks... they could turn this into a big payday.... With a chance to get 3:1 on your money, i have to tell you to bet on the jackets even though they aren't by any means a favorite to win

Win : Anaheim (but bet on the jackets cuz they have a fairly good shot of winning this game)
jackets - (+175)


RESULTS

Pens : Lost in OT... still a good bet though
Maple leafs - blew out the thrashrers
canucks - dominated the wild
anaheim - beat the blue jackets (thought they would) but scored with 2:15 left... was a good game
avalanche - lost to the blackhawks in a shootout
stars - beat the oilers

i bet on the stars and for once i WON!!!!!!!!!! wooot

Wednesday, October 12, 2005

day three

ok day three, this should be tough... these games are tough, and i have my reasons for my picks but i dont feel like typin much tonight

bruins vs panthers

bruins are gonna be without joe thorton,but they are still the better team. they are 2-2 on the season, but their one win was an OT win they shouldnt have had...

bruins win

sabers vs lighting

lightning are in a rut, i expect them to jump out of it and win

lightning win


isles vs caps

this is a tough game to pick, im not betting on it... if kolzig plays it will be a lot closer, but i give the nod to the isles... caps should be favored but i think the isles can upset

isles win

rangers vs devils

rangers beat the flyers, devils lost to the flyers... The devils are by far the better team, but i think its worth the gamble on the rangers

rangers win

flames vs stars

when are the flames going to step up? they have way too much talent for how they've been playing

flames win

predators vs coyotes

the predators have won all their games, but they shouldnt have.... the coyotes are playing badly, but gretzy needs to get them out of their rut

coyotes win

wings vs kings

this game is going to be GOOD... the kings have been hot... i think they cool off here

wings win


RESULTS

i didnt bet any today cuz i was at a concert... i bet on a TON of dogs tonight, and while most came thru, a few lost in OT

Rangers Win

Isles Win

Bruins Win

Kings Win

Coyotes Lost (shootout though)

Lightning Lost (shootout)

Flames Lost (Overtime)

so i was 4-3 for the day, but my 3 losses all came in overtime... i think thats pretty damn good for an nhl that hasnt played in a year and a half


Tuesday, October 11, 2005

day two

Day Two

Overall Record 3-2
Record of picks that i actually put money on 0-2

tomorrows games

Capitals vs Hurricanes - The caps have been such an inconsistant team so far... they either play great or terribly...Ovechin is a force and has been playing great his first few games. The hurricanes on the other hand are not much better. They are relying on their rookie goalie cam ward to run their defense, and while their offense is fast and good at handling the puck, they really havent produced yet. Basically i think this game comes down to how Kolzig plays. If he plays great like he has done in the past, Caps have a chance, if Ollie the Goalie can't stop a basketball from going into the net, the Canes run away with it

Pick : Canes (not a strong favorite)

Atlanta vs Montreal - This game isn't clear cut either. Montreal just came off a loss to Ottawa last night, but the game was tied well into the third period. The thrashers scored no goals in their season opener, but have absolutely blown out the competition in their last two games. Add to this the fact that Ilya Kovalchuk shoudl be in lineup tonight... and Atlanta has a damn good shot of scoring 5 or 6 more goals. Mike Dunham has been solid in net so far, with the only loss coming in a 2-0 decision to the Panthers

Pick : Montreal i think can take it... if they can keep the thrashers out of the net

Vancouver vs Minnesota - I really dont even want to go into the reasons why this is an easy pick, but Naslund is hot, Bertuzzi and Morrison are playing great first line hockey, and in the Canucks win over the Red Wings monday night, the second line for the canucks finally began to click. Minnesota has two things going for them.... Alexander Daigle and their goaltender. other than that, what else do they have. They do have an impressive win over a good calgary team , but calgary has seemed to be stumbling so far this year. If Dan Cloutier can keep the puck out of the canucks net, the wild have no chance

Pick : Vancover (im afraid to see what the line is going to be on this game)

Predators vs Avalanche - This game is somewhat tough to call.... The predators are 2-0, but both games were 2-1 victories over teams that haven't been playing too well. The avalanche exploded for 7 goals the other night against the flames, who have a much better goalie than tomas vokoun. If the avalanche play like they did against the flames, this game could be a blowout. The predators have sullivan and kariya , but they can only account for so many goals

Pick : Avalanche

Columbus vs San Jose - Battle of two crappy teams. The sharks definately have the advantage in net with Nabokov compared to Mark Denis for the Jackets. However, besides a 7 goal explosion in a game they should not have even had a chance of winning against the blues, the Sharks offense has been relatively quiet. If rick nash (sprained ankle) plays tomorrow the jackets have a good chance of pulling the game out. I want to give this game to the jackets, but i don't think that Mark Denis has what it takes if San Jose can pour on a few goals like they did against the Blues and in the preseason... This game is a crapshoot, but i think i have to give it to the sharks

Pick : San Jose

DAY TWO RESULTS

well i put a 2 team parlay on canucks and the lanch , so of course those two lost

but SJ, carolina, and montreal all won

so im 6-4 for 2 days
0-4 in games i bet on

Who thinks i should just make the picks and not bet on them

Hi all

ok, this is my attempt to delve into hockey sports betting... i plan to post my picks every day (that i can) and reasons why




ok day 1
record 0 - 0

Phi vs Maple leafs - not giving a definate pick on this one... it's a tough one... The leafs are 0-3 but two of those losses were to ottawa in overtime and the other was to a strong montreal club. They are scoring a decent amount... and ed belfour is a solid veteran in net. Philly on the other hand is 1-1... beating a strong devils team but losing to a rather weak rangers team. Philly has robert esche and an unkown goalie named nittymakki in net... esche is a solid veteran but i'd have to give the nod to belfour and the leafs in terms of netminders. Philly can explode for a bunch of goals if they are on.... but this toronto team seems to be a team that might be able to keep up with it. If i was forced to pick, id look for toronto to get a long needed first win

Senators vs Canadiens - wouldnt touch this game if i was paid to... The sens are 3-0 and are scoring well and winning alot... The canadiens are 3-0 also, and while their wins came against some lesser teams than ottawa... they beat the sens 6-3 late in the preseason (id pick the sens if i had to tho)

Blackhawks vs Blues - The blues are straight up sucking... lalime has been letting in an average of 5 goals a night...and while they have been able to keep games relatively close... when facing khabibulin... you cant expect him to let you score 5 times to make up for your shitty goaltending. I take the blackhawks... they can score enough to win relying on khabibulin to keep the blues from scoring alot

Coyotes vs Stars - Phoenix has been a huge dissapointment so far, although im not sure if they really have the talent they need to produce. They have scored 2 goals in each of their games... losing two games by one goal and the other game winning by a goal. Curtis Joesph was hurt in their last game and is out for a bit because of a groin injury. The Stars have been fairly successful, scoring at least 3 goals a game in their last 5. Arnott has five points in two games, and with the coyotes having a backup goalie in net, i think taking the Stars is an easy pick... this line will probably be in the -130 to 140 range too i think when its released... because i dont see any reason why the coyotes should win this game.

Oilers vs Kings - I go with the oilers here. The kings are 2-1... but their wins were against the wild and the coyotes... both by 1 goal. Their team just can't score very effectively, and while they havent let in too many goals... their goaltenders are both unproven based on the teams they have played against. Oilers have show ability to execute on the power play, are averaging 4 points a game... and have beaten some quality opponents in colorado/vancouver and anaheim.. The line isnt there yet... but i bet the oilers are getting somewhere in the -140 range

RESULTS

Sens - win
Toronto - win
Stars - win
Oilers- loss (they played better for first 2 periods, but fell apart and let kings 2nd goal get them out of their game)
Blackhawks - loss (I dont even know why this happened... 3-0 blues at 2nd intermission... while being outshot 3-1... lalime must have played great)

record 3-2

but of course i only placed 2 bets... on the fucking two games that i lost :(